Cisco + WebEx = A New SaaS Master Platform?
What Is Happening? Last week, Cisco announced the acquisition of web conferencing market leader WebEx for $57 per share or $3.2 billion. The deal is expected to close by July. Widely seen as an extension of the company's strategy to compete in unified communications, the acquisition appears to be a first step toward potentially establishing Cisco as a serious SaaS Master Platform player. In this regard, the acquisition of WebEx is more similar to Cisco's recent successful purchases of Scientific-Atlanta and Linksys -- both companies with significant market share and brand recognition in high-growth market segments that Cisco intends to dominate (vs. the company's typical acquisition of an emerging company with a niche product that it is just now ready to bring to market).
Why Is It Happening? Recently completed Saugatuck research (see Note 1) indicates that collaboration is the leading software category for SaaS, and will continue to be so for the foreseeable.
As Figure 1 illustrates, collaboration technologies such as web conferencing, instant messaging, and email are the SaaS applications with the highest customer adoption rates -- both in terms of current deployments, as well as deployment plans through 2008.
Cisco has bought into a fast-growing phenomenon that complements its existing strategy around unified communications extremely well. The WebEx Connect platform (see Research Alert SaaScon and WebEx: Trip Report Highlights, RA-276, 27Sept06) brings with it not only inter- and intra-enterprise collaboration, but also SugarCRM and Business Objects Business Intelligence tools, and may be expected to include a wide range of other SaaS application categories over time, creating a powerful platform for enterprise computing.
Strategically, the Cisco and WebEx product sets combine nicely in a unified communications portfolio that both targets the SMB and enterprise market, and can be deployed within or outside the firewall. And with Cisco's international reach, this product set can now rival that of Microsoft's, particularly in the inter-enterprise domain. The acquisition also significantly raises the profile and appeal of WebEx's new offering -- WebEx Connect -- in the eyes of potential partners and developers. These partners will be crucial to rounding out what Saugatuck sees as another strong example of next-generation SaaS ecosystems and marketplaces (see Strategic Perspective SaaS 2.0: Six Key Trends for 2007, MKT-303, 28Dec06).
While Salesforce has been the poster child for SaaS success thus far, it should be noted that WebEx already has more than 2 million users, compared with Salesforce's 650,000. By combining WebEx Connect with Cisco's investments in unified communications, Cisco becomes a serious contender for tomorrow's SaaS Master Platform, along with Microsoft's newly repositioned Live offerings and Google, as it continues its appeal not only to the consumer and
Market Impact:
Cisco is following a path that Saugatuck expects other on-premise technology players and Master Brands to follow with regard to SaaS: buy into the business -- then develop it further. This path will be driven by both operational and financial market realities that must be considered by established on-premise software players seeking to leverage the SaaS phenomenon.
Master Brands and on-premise ISVs have two challenges. First, these established product-oriented companies will need to learn how to sell and support a services offering; in our opinion, buying the expertise and bringing it in house may be the fastest way to do so. Second, established on-premise players migrating to SaaS -- and especially Master Brands -- will more likely prosper in SaaS by growing a subscription revenue stream gradually, or by making accretive acquisitions, rather than converting existing products in a "big bang" approach.
Collaboration -- and unified communications -- are the hottest SaaS application categories through 2008. We can expect to see increased M&A activity as well as a boatload of smaller players developing SaaS offerings to compete with Cisco's WebEx Connect, Oracle Collaboration (OCS) on Demand and Microsoft Office Live Groove. Realtime collaboration is a business necessity in today's highly distributed knowledge worker-based economy. The business value chains of today's global companies depend heavily on collaboration among a variety of business partners, suppliers, contract manufacturers, services providers and distribution channel partners.
The WebEx Connect vision combines Software-as-a-Service, Web services, workflow, document routing, and access to on-premises data and applications in an on-demand collaboration suite that can be configured to the needs of the business user. With the weight of Cisco and its portfolio behind it, and with the increased partnering momentum arising from the acquisition, WebEx gains further credibility and resources at the same time that Cisco secures a foothold in the burgeoning SaaS market.
No doubt, Cisco itself faces some key challenges in integrating WebEx, as the two firms have very different organizations, cultures and offering mixes. In particular, Cisco's sales force is world class at selling networking gear and a variety of technical management services into the enterprise, but the company has less experience with marketing and selling enterprise software, and little to none in selling business services such as WebEx Connect.
This is particularly relevant given WebEx's transition itself from web conferencing application provider to on demand collaboration platform provider (with the introduction of WebEx Connect). As such, Cisco will need to carefully and successfully manage the rollout of the WebEx Connect platform, including partner development, while up-selling the WebEx customer base.
In our experience, even for companies as well versed at integrating acquisitions as Cisco, the effort associated with learning to market an entirely new product set (to a different buying constituency) is often underestimated. If this challenge can be met -- and there are many potential paths to address these issues -- this acquisition will not only be a major step forward in moving Cisco up the value chain, but it will also place them front-and-center in the next-generation of enterprise software.
Note 1:
Saugatuck 2nd Annual SaaS Research Program
Saugatuck will publish its newest original research report, "SaaS 2.0: Beyond the Inflection Point" in the mid-to-late April, 2007 timeframe.
Based in part on a new worldwide web survey of 250 senior business and IT executives, 20 briefings with leading SaaS providers and 15 deep dive interviews with early adopter SaaS users, the report will update our SaaS adoption scenario, and fine-tune our SaaS 2.0 vision in areas such as pricing and licensing, business marketplaces / ecosystems and verticalization.
For more information about this report, please contact Chris MacGregor, Analyst and Media Liaison, at 203-454-3900, or at chris.macgregor@saugatech.com.
The author invites your comments and inquiries on this Research Alert. Please contact M. Koenig mark.koenig@saugatech.com , Mike West mike.west@saugatech.com , Bill McNee at bill.mcnee@saugatech.com .
For a PDF Version of this Research Alert please Click Here (Site Registration Required)
Browse Related Research:
_______________________________________________
>> Back to Main Page
Gary E. Smith
SaaS Network Architect

Comments